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Quick Take: New U.S. Senate Poll & Endorsement Good News For Caroline Fayard Among Dems, Mitch Landrieu

Democrats For Education Reform Louisiana (DFER) released a poll today from the firm Anzalone Liszt Grove that has U.S. Senate candidate Caroline Fayard ahead of fellow Democrat Foster Campbell.

Foster Campbell and Caroline Fayard.
Foster Campbell and Caroline Fayard.

If the Senate race were held today, Fayard is the only Democrat with support in the double-digits at 13%, while Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell and Acadiana businessman Josh Pellerin polled at 7% and 1%, respectively. Overall, State Treasurer John Kennedy came in on top with 18% support.

Fayard is the only Democratic candidate polling in the double-digits.
Fayard is the only Democratic candidate polling in the double-digits.

Still, today’s poll reveals that nearly 31% of voters are undecided, meaning that the ultimate outcome of the race is very much up in the air. That being said, when brief biographical information on the candidates was provided, Fayard’s support jumped to 20%, tied with Kennedy.

When biographical information on the candidates was provided, Fayard was tied with Kennedy at 20%.
When biographical information on the candidates was provided, Fayard was tied with Kennedy at 20%.

Fayard’s strong showing reflects her substantial support among key Democratic constituencies: African-American women, white female Democrats, and voters in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Fayard outperformed her fellow Democratic contenders among all four groups.

Fayard is winning over key Democratic constituencies.
Fayard is winning over key Democratic constituencies.

The poll, which was conducted between August 29th and September 1st, is based on 605 live telephone interviews of likely voters who were randomly selected and apportioned geographically based on past voter turnout.1 The expected margin of sampling error is ±4.0% with a 95% confidence level.

Mitch Landrieu To Endorse Fayard

However, the ALG poll isn’t the only good news for Caroline Fayard this week.

Jeremy Alford over at LaPolitics Weekly revealed today that New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu is planning to endorse Caroline Fayard in the U.S. Senate race.

As I discussed in a recent post, the competition between Foster Campbell and Caroline Fayard has exposed a divide among Louisiana Democrats over both education policy and the future direction of the party.

Campbell, who has served in elected office since 1976, represents the old guard of the Louisiana Democratic Party and is backed by Governor John Bel Edwards and the Louisiana Federation of Teachers. Fayard, a 37-year old attorney from New Orleans, has been endorsed by DFER, the Independent Women’s Organization of New Orleans, and Democratic strategist, James Carville.

As Alford notes, Landrieu’s decision to endorse Fayard over Campbell, “shows a major difference of opinion among the Louisiana Democratic Party’s premier power brokers over who should be the next U.S. senator.”


  1. The results from live interview polls are generally considered to be more accurate than those of so-called “robocall” polls. 

Written by Peter Cook

Pete became involved in education reform as a 2002 Teach For America corps member in New Orleans Public Schools and has worked in various capacities at Teach For America, KIPP, TNTP, and the Recovery School District. As a consultant, he developed teacher evaluation systems and served as a strategic advisor to school district leaders in Cleveland, Nashville, Chattanooga, and Jefferson Parish, Louisiana. He now writes about education policy and politics and lives in New Orleans.

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